Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.000579 0.000668 0.000762 0.000869 0.000988 0.001114 0.001260
2025-06-08 0.000424 0.000542 0.000676 0.000840 0.001033 0.001252 0.001517
2025-06-15 0.000353 0.000483 0.000639 0.000838 0.001082 0.001369 0.001728
2025-06-22 0.000298 0.000435 0.000607 0.000836 0.001126 0.001476 0.001927
2025-06-29 0.000253 0.000392 0.000574 0.000824 0.001152 0.001559 0.002094
2025-07-06 0.000215 0.000352 0.000540 0.000808 0.001167 0.001625 0.002239
2025-07-13 0.000194 0.000335 0.000535 0.000826 0.001227 0.001747 0.002456
2025-07-20 0.000175 0.000318 0.000526 0.000838 0.001277 0.001857 0.002660
2025-07-27 0.000153 0.000293 0.000504 0.000829 0.001297 0.001925 0.002810
2025-08-03 0.000133 0.000268 0.000480 0.000814 0.001306 0.001979 0.002940
2025-08-10 0.000121 0.000255 0.000472 0.000824 0.001350 0.002079 0.003134
2025-08-17 0.000108 0.000241 0.000461 0.000825 0.001380 0.002162 0.003305
2025-08-24 0.000092 0.000217 0.000432 0.000799 0.001371 0.002188 0.003401
2025-08-31 0.000078 0.000195 0.000406 0.000774 0.001361 0.002214 0.003497
2025-09-07 0.000069 0.000183 0.000394 0.000772 0.001384 0.002287 0.003659
2025-09-14 0.000061 0.000171 0.000383 0.000770 0.001408 0.002360 0.003823
2025-09-21 0.000053 0.000158 0.000367 0.000759 0.001417 0.002412 0.003955
2025-09-28 0.000046 0.000145 0.000350 0.000743 0.001416 0.002448 0.004066
2025-10-05 0.000043 0.000142 0.000351 0.000761 0.001470 0.002567 0.004301
2025-10-12 0.000039 0.000137 0.000349 0.000772 0.001513 0.002672 0.004516
2025-10-19 0.000034 0.000128 0.000337 0.000763 0.001523 0.002725 0.004654
2025-10-26 0.000030 0.000117 0.000322 0.000750 0.001523 0.002762 0.004768
2025-11-02 0.000027 0.000113 0.000320 0.000758 0.001562 0.002860 0.004977